Are the Golden Globes locked up? Latest odds predict ‘The Brutalist’ and ‘Anora’ to sweep
Neon - A24
The Golden Globes predictions are abuzz with early frontrunners, and if the 82nd annual ceremony were held today, The Brutalist and Anora seem poised to dominate. With Gold Derby’s predictions now live, the awards season is heating up, and the odds provide intriguing insights into this year’s potential winners.
Both The Brutalist and Anora are currently leading the pack. The Brutalist is forecasted to win three major awards, including Best Drama Picture, Best Drama Actor for Adrien Brody, and Best Director for Brady Corbet. Meanwhile, Anora is expected to triumph in the Comedy/Musical categories, including Best Picture, Best Actress for Mikey Madison, and Best Screenplay for Sean Baker.
On the television front, Shōgun and Baby Reindeer are leading contenders, with both predicted to secure three wins apiece. Shōgun dominates in Drama Series categories, while Baby Reindeer shines in Limited Series, with acting nods for Richard Gadd and Jessica Gunning.
The odds reveal fierce competition across categories, with Emilia Pérez, The Wild Robot, and A Real Pain also showing strong chances in key races. Let’s dive deeper into the odds and what they reveal about the 2025 Golden Globes.
Film Categories and Odds
a24
Best Film Drama
The Brutalist — 7/2
Conclave — 19/5
A Complete Unknown — 11/2
Dune: Part Two — 11/2
Nickel Boys — 13/2
September 5 — 13/2
A24
Best Film Drama Actress
Angelina Jolie (Maria) — 19/5
Nicole Kidman (Babygirl) — 4/1
Fernanda Torres (I’m Still Here) — 9/2
Pamela Anderson (The Last Showgirl) — 11/2
Tilda Swinton (The Room Next Door) — 13/2
Kate Winslet (Lee) — 7/1
Searchlight Pictures
Best Film Drama Actor
Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) — 18/5
Ralph Fiennes (Conclave) — 4/1
Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown) — 9/2
Colman Domingo (Sing Sing) — 11/2
Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) — 7/1
Daniel Craig (Queer) — 7/1
NEon
Best Film Comedy/Musical
Anora — 37/10
Wicked — 4/1
Emilia Pérez — 9/2
A Real Pain — 6/1
The Substance — 6/1
Challengers — 15/2
NEon
Best Film Comedy/Musical Actress
Mikey Madison (Anora) — 7/2
Cynthia Erivo (Wicked) — 9/2
Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez) — 9/2
Demi Moore (The Substance) — 5/1
Zendaya (Challengers) — 7/1
Amy Adams (Nightbitch) — 7/1
A24
Best Film Comedy/Musical Actor
Jesse Eisenberg (A Real Pain) — 19/5
Sebastian Stan (A Different Man) — 4/1
Glen Powell (Hit Man) — 9/2
Hugh Grant (Heretic) — 5/1
Gabriel LaBelle (Saturday Night) — 13/2
Jesse Plemons (Kinds of Kindness) — 15/2
UNIVERSAL PICTURES
Best Film Supporting Actress
Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) — 7/2
Ariana Grande (Wicked) — 19/5
Isabella Rossellini (Conclave) — 11/2
Felicity Jones (The Brutalist) — 11/2
Selena Gomez (Emilia Pérez) — 13/2
Margaret Qualley (The Substance) — 7/1
POPULAR ON THE CINEMA GROUP
Searchlight Pictures
Best Film Supporting Actor
Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain) — 10/3
Guy Pearce (The Brutalist) — 4/1
Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) — 5/1
Yura Borisov (Anora) — 11/2
Jeremy Strong (The Apprentice) — 13/2
Edward Norton (A Complete Unknown) — 7/1
courtesy of The Venice film Festival
Best Film Director
Brady Corbet (The Brutalist) — 18/5
Sean Baker (Anora) — 4/1
Edward Berger (Conclave) — 5/1
Jacques Audiard (Emilia Pérez) — 5/1
Coralie Fargeat (The Substance) — 6/1
Payal Kapadia (All We Imagine as Light) — 7/1
NEON
Best Film Screenplay
Anora — 69/20
Conclave — 4/1
A Real Pain — 5/1
The Brutalist — 6/1
The Substance — 6/1
Emilia Pérez — 7/1
Universal pictures
Best Animated Feature
The Wild Robot — 17/5
Flow — 4/1
Inside Out 2 — 5/1
Memoir of a Snail — 11/2
Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl — 13/2
Moana 2 — 7/1
NETFLIX
Best Non-English Film
Emilia Pérez — 17/5
All We Imagine as Light — 4/1
The Seed of the Sacred Fig — 5/1
I’m Still Here — 11/2
Vermiglio — 7/1
The Girl with the Needle — 7/1
Focus Features
Best Score
Conclave — 37/10
The Brutalist — 4/1
Challengers — 5/1
The Wild Robot — 11/2
Emilia Pérez — 6/1
Dune: Part Two — 13/2
Universal pictures
Best Song
The Wild Robot (“Kiss the Sky”) — 39/10
Emilia Pérez (“El Mal”) — 4/1
Emilia Pérez (“Mi Camino”) — 9/2
The Last Showgirl (“Beautiful That Way”) — 5/1
Better Man (“Forbidden Road”) — 13/2
Challengers (“Compress/Repress”) — 7/1
UNIVERSAL PICTURES
Cinematic and Box Office Achievement
Wicked — 4/1
Deadpool and Wolverine — 6/1
Inside Out 2 — 13/2
Gladiator II — 15/2
The Wild Robot — 8/1
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice — 9/1
Alien: Romulus — 19/2
Twisters — 19/2
Odds Analysis
Film Awards Insights:
The Brutalist stands out in the Drama category, with its odds strongly favoring Adrien Brody for Best Drama Actor and Brady Corbet for Best Director. The film’s high stakes, gripping performances, and directorial vision make it the frontrunner.
In Comedy/Musical, Anora dominates the conversation, with Mikey Madison leading Best Actress and Sean Baker’s screenplay garnering significant buzz. However, Wicked and Emilia Pérez pose strong challenges in key categories, potentially making for an exciting race.
The Supporting Actress category is particularly competitive, with Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez) leading but closely followed by Ariana Grande (Wicked) and Isabella Rossellini (Conclave).
Television Awards Insights:
Shōgun has cemented itself as the drama to beat, with Hiroyuki Sanada and Anna Sawai generating buzz for their standout performances. Baby Reindeer, meanwhile, is the favorite in Limited Series, thanks to Richard Gadd’s emotional performance and Jessica Gunning’s standout supporting role.
Comedy remains a tight race, with Hacks predicted to win Best Comedy Series, though The Bear and Nobody Wants This are gaining momentum.
Dark Horses:
A Real Pain could upset in multiple categories, particularly for Jesse Eisenberg’s and Kieran Culkin’s performances.
In Best Song, The Wild Robot leads with “Kiss the Sky,” but Emilia Pérez’s two nominated tracks—“El Mal” and “Mi Camino”—are formidable contenders.
THE CINEMA GROUP - YOUR PREMIER SOURCE FOR THE LATEST IN FILM AND ENTERTAINMENT NEWS. FOLLOW US ON SOCIAL MEDIA @THECINEMAGROUP
