FX’s Shōgun and The Bear dominate the Emmy race, with Shōgun making history before the Primetime ceremony and The Bear eyeing another record-breaking comedy win. Predictions for Sunday include potential surprises like RuPaul’s Drag Race extending its Emmy streak.

With 14 Creative Arts Emmy wins, Shōgun sets the stage for drama, while The Bear seeks to surpass its own comedy record.

As the 76th Emmy Awards approach, FX’s Shōgun has already made history, winning 14 Creative Arts Emmys and becoming the most-awarded program in a single year. This achievement surpasses John Adams and Game of Thrones, setting the stage for a major sweep on Emmy night. With 8 more nominations in the main ceremony, Shōgun could extend its record, solidifying its place in Emmy history.

Another FX series, The Bear, is also in contention for breaking its own record. After winning 10 Emmys last year, it has already secured 7 Creative Arts Emmys in 2024, and with 9 more nominations to its name, The Bear is poised to set new benchmarks for a comedy series.

In addition to Shōgun and The Bear, several other shows are expected to make history. RuPaul’s Drag Race could extend its record for the most Emmy wins by a reality program, and Saturday Night Live has already hit 101 Emmy wins, with the potential to add even more. Other significant moments to watch include potential wins for Curb Your Enthusiasm, The Crown, and breakout performances from Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary), Hiroyuki Sanada (Shōgun), and Jean Smart (Hacks).

The Cinema group’s picks for the 25 major categories, and the competition is fierce.

Here are our predictions:

Drama Series: Shōgun (FX)

Comedy Series: The Bear (FX)

Limited Series: Baby Reindeer (Netflix)

Lead Actor (Drama): Hiroyuki Sanada, Shōgun (FX)

Lead Actor (Comedy): Jeremy Allen White, The Bear (FX)

Lead Actor (Limited): Andrew Scott, Ripley (Netflix)

Lead Actress (Drama): Anna Sawai, Shо̄gun (FX)

Lead Actress (Comedy): Jean Smart, Hacks (Max)

Lead Actress (Limited): Jodie Foster, True Detective: Night Country (Max)

Supporting Actor (Drama): Billy Crudup, The Morning Show (Apple TV+)

Supporting Actor (Comedy): Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear (FX)

Supporting Actor (Limited): Jonathan Bailey, Fellow Travelers (Showtime)

Supporting Actress (Drama): Lesley Manville, The Crown (Netflix)

Supporting Actress (Comedy): Hannah Einbinder, Hacks (Max)

Supporting Actress (Limited): Jessica Gunning, Baby Reindeer (Netflix)

Talk Series: The Daily Show (Comedy Central)

Scripted Variety Series: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (Max)

Reality or Competition Program: RuPaul’s Drag Race (MTV)

Directing (Drama): Shо̄gun (FX), Frederick E.O. Toye, Chapter Nine: Crimson Sky

Directing (Comedy): The Bear (FX), Christopher Storer, Fishes

Directing (Limited/TV Movie): True Detective: Night Country (Max), Issa López

Writing (Drama): The Crown (Netflix), “Ritz” by Peter Morgan and Meriel Sheibani-Clare

Writing (Comedy): The Bear (FX), “Fishes” by Joanna Calo, Christopher Storer

Writing (Limited/TV Movie): Baby Reindeer (Netflix), Series by Richard Gadd

Writing (Variety Special): Alex Edelman: Just For Us (HBO/Max), Alex Edelman

These predictions cover some of the most anticipated categories. ABC will broadcast the ceremony live from downtown Los Angeles’ Peacock Theatre on September 15, with streaming available from September 16-22 on Hulu.

Source: Variety, Michael Schneider

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